Financial Forecasting
Stop guessing. Start forecasting with your real books behind you.
Most forecasts are spreadsheet fiction — built on assumptions, disconnected from actual transactions, and stale by month two. Ours are driver-based models wired directly to your live books, rebuilt each month so you always know where you're headed and what levers to pull.
Why our forecasting is different
Driver-based models, not spreadsheet guesswork.
Most business forecasts are a copy of last year with a growth percentage pasted on top. Ours are built from the actual drivers of your business and reconciled to real transactions every month.
Driver-based, not assumption-based
We model the inputs that actually move your numbers — units sold, headcount, churn rate, average ticket — not a top-down percentage lift. When a driver changes, the whole model updates.
Scenario and sensitivity planning
Base, upside, and downside scenarios built in from day one. Toggle a hiring decision, a price change, or a revenue slowdown and instantly see the cash impact — before you commit.
Wired to your real books
The forecast isn't a separate file that drifts from reality. It's reconciled to your actual P&L and balance sheet each month, so variance is caught immediately, not at quarter-end.
Cash-first, not just P&L
Profit is an opinion; cash is a fact. Every model we build starts with the 13-week cash view, so you always know your runway — not just your EBITDA.
What's included
Ten deliverables — one integrated model.
Every engagement includes the full forecasting stack. Not a dashboard product — a working model maintained by a human CFO team, rebuilt around your actual business.
The cash truth
Your P&L can look fine while you run out of cash.
Accrual accounting shows revenue when earned, not when collected. A growing business can show profit on paper and still miss payroll. We build the cash view alongside the P&L — so you see both the income and the timing.
What you get
Six things every forecasting client receives.
Not a software subscription. A maintained, living model and a CFO team who updates it — and explains it — every month.
A living model
A driver-based financial model rebuilt from your actual books each month — not a static file handed over and forgotten.
Monthly variance analysis
Actuals vs. forecast with written commentary on every material variance. You know not just what changed — but why.
Cash runway view
Always-current 13-week cash forecast so you know your runway to the week, not the quarter.
Scenario toggles
Base, upside, and downside scenarios you can walk through live with your team — updated each month as conditions change.
Board-ready deck
A formatted monthly package ready to send to investors or board members — actuals, forecast, KPIs, and commentary.
Capital decisions support
Raise, hire, buy, or wait — we model each decision against current cash so you can make the call with numbers, not instinct.
What we actually run for you
Industries we build forecasting models for.
The problem
SaaS and subscription businesses
MRR cohort models, churn sensitivity, CAC payback, and runway — built around the metrics SaaS boards actually ask for.
The problem
Campgrounds and RV parks
Seasonal cash modeling, site-mix revenue forecasting, and capital planning for owners managing real estate and hospitality together.
The problem
Multifamily real estate
Occupancy-driven revenue models, debt service schedules, renovation ROI, and distribution waterfall forecasting for operators and investors.
The problem
Marinas
Seasonal trough modeling, multi-line revenue forecasting across dockage, fuel, storage, and service — and capital planning before the next dock expansion.
How we work
From messy books to a model you trust.
We run a repeatable onboarding process so the first model is accurate — and every month after improves on the last.
The numbers we put in front of you
Run the business on forward-looking numbers, not last month's P&L.
The KPIs our forecasting clients track — and the benchmarks that separate well-run businesses from ones flying blind.
Figures shown are illustrative.
Keep exploring
Go deeper — or just talk to us.
Related guides
We also serve
Talk to a CFO who has read your kind of P&L before.
A 30-minute call. Bring last quarter's numbers and your biggest open question — we'll show you what a driver-based model would tell you, then map out exactly where we can help.
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